Reflections on Truss’s ‘Mini-Budget’, one year on

It’s been one year since Britain’s shortest-serving prime minister launched her disastrous ‘mini-budget that would single-handedly destroy her political career, send the markets into utter chaos, and significantly taint the Conservatives’ reputation as the party with effective fiscal administration.

In the wake of uncertainty and an apparent economic downturn from rising inflation and energy prices, Truss unveiled her mini budget on the 23rd of September 2022, set to stand as the centrepiece of her economic policy. The budget promised to increase the GDP growth rate by 2.5% through a sweeping series of unfunded tax cuts, worth a staggering £45bn, including reversal of the planned increase in corporation tax, a cut in national insurance, the abolition of the ‘health and social care levy’, and a cut in the basic rate on income tax.

The budget also included a government support scheme for energy bills, capping wholesale energy prices for businesses for a six-month period at a cost of around £60bn for the first six months. While Truss held high aspirations of growth for the country, it became clear the number of changes proposed and the amount of capital involved was far too much and far too quickly, revealing the reckless and rushed nature of the policy. 

Immediately following the launch, the financial markets descended into absolute chaos with the pound dropping to a thirty-seven-year low (trading below $1.09), a sharp rise in both the cost of UK government borrowing and mortgage rates, and resulting in a £65bn Bank of England bailout to avoid pension funds collapsing. The budget was the beginning of a chain of fiscal failures that would lead to the PM resigning after just 44 days in office. 

With a career beginning in banking and finance, Sunak took the ropes from Truss, promising to tidy up the aftermath of the mini budget’s economic mess. Yet, now one year on, the British people have still been left with empty promises and a bleak outlook on the country’s fiscal position. 

National debt and taxes as a share of the economy are at their highest since the ’60s. As of Friday, UK mortgage approvals have hit a six-month low, and with the Bank of England an annual growth rate of just 0.5% in 2023 and 2024 – one-tenth the average than in the decade prior to the 2008 crash, is Britain on track for a bleak financial year-end. 

Perhaps most ironically, as the party grounded in tax liberation approaches thirteen years in power, the Institute for Fiscal Studies forecasts that UK households will face a tax rise of £3500 in a year by the next election – the highest increase in parliament on record since the Second World War. Once a nation at the forefront of progress and economic stability, it seems Britain is now intent on reeling back the clock seventy years. 

While most of the economic pitfalls bestowing the country are not a direct result of the fallout of Truss’s mini-budget, they reveal a continued failure of parliament to improve the country’s economic position, both in the context of global markets and on home soil. The British people have been forced to pay the price for the failures of politicians, with a soaring cost of energy, food, mortgage rates, an overwhelmed health care system, and crumbling infrastructure. With trust being lost with every move, it seems the country is ripe for economic and political reform. and with a general election not due until January 2025, it seems we’re all trudging through this mess, with little end in sight.

Foreign Secretary Liz Truss visits Bosnia and Herzegovina” by UK Government is licensed under CC BY-NC-ND 2.0.